31°
Manila is still humid. Typhoon Leon is east of Luzon and makes landfall on the Aurora coast in about 18 hours. The rain wall reaches the city after 17:40. Baguio stays 22° on the ridge.
Landfall. 200–280 mm. Coast goes first.
Eyewall rain after 18:10. 150–220 mm.
Signal next. Flooded streets after 17:40.
Underpasses fill. Heavier core 18:30.
Ridge wind, not the eye. 40–70 mm.
Leon is still offshore. The bay walk floods before the eye arrives. Do not stay for the view.
This is the street, not the eye. Low roads and underpasses go under first.
165 km/h, 948 hPa, landfall on the Aurora coast in about 18 hours. Manila stays at 31° until the rain wall after 17:40.
This is a typhoon east of Luzon, not the Vietnam storm. Five steps for Manila and the east coast. The map stays above.
Aurora takes the eye. Quezon takes the eyewall rain. Manila floods after 17:40. Baguio is wind on the ridge, not landfall.
Papers, water, a light, a power bank, and cash. The network gets worse as Leon comes in, not after it has passed.
Shut windows. Clear the balcony. Move the car off the lowest street while it is still only humid.
If you are in Aurora or coastal Quezon, go inland before the 18-hour landfall. In Manila, skip the bay and the underpass.
Agree where you meet. The next pass is 17:10. Do not wait for a message once the rain wall is overhead.
Leon makes landfall on Aurora first. Manila’s problem in the next hours is the rain wall, then the typhoon itself overnight.